Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004729 0.005343 0.006041 0.006901 0.007945 0.009184 0.010788
2026-02-01 0.003750 0.004477 0.005375 0.006590 0.008228 0.010425 0.013712
2026-02-08 0.003181 0.003930 0.004903 0.006301 0.008332 0.011310 0.016300
2026-02-15 0.002908 0.003699 0.004774 0.006404 0.008941 0.012996 0.020641
2026-02-22 0.002632 0.003421 0.004527 0.006275 0.009146 0.014072 0.024354
2026-03-01 0.002394 0.003163 0.004272 0.006083 0.009192 0.014865 0.027851
2026-03-08 0.002210 0.002964 0.004076 0.005947 0.009297 0.015776 0.032054
2026-03-15 0.002122 0.002896 0.004068 0.006114 0.009966 0.017986 0.040806
2026-03-22 0.002060 0.002859 0.004102 0.006351 0.010815 0.020875 0.053907
2026-03-29 0.002014 0.002840 0.004160 0.006638 0.011825 0.024552 0.073902
2026-04-05 0.001907 0.002717 0.004033 0.006561 0.012041 0.026284 0.088662
2026-04-12 0.001812 0.002607 0.003917 0.006487 0.012250 0.028094 0.106879
2026-04-19 0.001700 0.002466 0.003746 0.006310 0.012240 0.029455 0.127062
2026-04-26 0.001583 0.002310 0.003540 0.006038 0.011958 0.029894 0.143410
2026-05-03 0.001479 0.002171 0.003352 0.005783 0.011670 0.030224 0.160946
2026-05-10 0.001434 0.002127 0.003330 0.005874 0.012302 0.034248 0.230291
2026-05-17 0.001365 0.002038 0.003220 0.005760 0.012356 0.036103 0.288938
2026-05-24 0.001295 0.001943 0.003091 0.005589 0.012217 0.037115 0.345936
2026-05-31 0.001236 0.001866 0.002990 0.005469 0.012202 0.038725 0.434889
2026-06-07 0.001214 0.001850 0.003004 0.005617 0.013030 0.045070 0.775343
2026-06-14 0.001199 0.001847 0.003044 0.005827 0.014126 0.054139 1.796632
2026-06-21 0.001189 0.001851 0.003097 0.006081 0.015461 0.066727 6.926515
2026-06-28 0.001148 0.001795 0.003026 0.006013 0.015646 0.071758 18.773258